Friday, September 18, 2015

SEC Week 3 Predictions

                                                      Courtesy of courier-journal.com

After a Week 2 that saw some shocking losses, we head into a week that sees some key SEC head to head match ups.  The most important game going into this week is undoubtedly Ole Miss at Alabama, but I'm going to save that prediction for tomorrow.  For now, let's take a look at the rest of the SEC.


                                                              Courtesy of themaneater.com

UCONN 
at Missouri -21.5

As I'm writing this news has just came out that there's been a car accident in Columbia involving 4 Missouri football players, so first off we hope that everyone is safe and send out our thoughts and prayers to the Mizzou football family.  21 1/2 points is a lot even for a UCONN team that is clearly bad at football.  The Tigers will win, but it's tough to say how much they'll win by, after they struggled at Arkansas State.  They could be distracted by the accident and looking head to Kentucky, but I think that sometimes as terrible as it is tragedy makes you rally around your team and after last week the Tigers look to bounce back against UCONN and they cover this game but barely.  



                                                          Courtesy of chatsports.com

Nevada
at Texas A&M - 34

A&M has looked very good in the first two weeks, but again 34 points is a lot, even at home.  I think the Aggies win this one in about the first 15 minutes, but then they'll sit everyone to get ready for Arkansas next week.  They'll be very vanilla on offense, because they can, seeing as how Nevada doesn't have Kaep as their QB, and they got shutout against Arizona last week.  The Aggies win, but Nevada makes a late push to keep A&M from covering.  


                                                             Courtesy of ktbs.com

Northwestern State
at Mississippi State - 42

Mississippi State has not looked good the last two weeks, struggling with Southern Miss and then losing to LSU.  Granted, they played very well in the 2nd half, but LSU had several touchdowns called back and jumped out to a big lead.  I think they look for a statement win here and destroy Northwestern State.  The Dawgs cover this and I went with the picture above, because I can't believe this actually an approved mascot.   It looks like Eddie Munster spent the weekend at Burning Man, and someone convinced him to get bolts shoved into his forehead.

                                                        Courtesy of usatoday.com

Austin Peay
at Vanderbilt -40.5

Vandy looked better last week against Georgia, but their offense is still going to struggle.  They'll beat Austin Peay easily, but I'm not sure they can score 40 points, even against Austin Peay.  Austin Peay is abysmally bad at football, but Vandy isn't exactly the '85 Bears.  This game looks like it is going to be a 34-7 thumping, but The Commodores fail to cover. 



                                                              Courtesy of classiccitytoday.com

South Carolina 
at Georgia -16.5

South Carolina is going to have some serious problems going forward, but this is a rivalry game.  I don't think outside of Stephen Garcia somehow finding another year of eligibility that the Gamecocks win this game, but I think they'll surprisingly cover.  Nick Chubb runs for over 100 yards for the 11th straight game, leaving him 1 shy of Herschel Walker's record.



                                                         Courtesy of imgarcade.com

Texas Tech
at Arkansas -11

After last week, you can bet Bret is not going to be happy.  Arkansas plays the Aggies next week with Texas Tech getting TCU at home, so this is a non-conference game both teams could overlook.  After Arkansas completely ended any hopes they had of a good season against Toldeo, I have no idea what to think.  The Hogs should win this game by 2 touchdowns, but who knows how they'll come out.  They could be hungover after the loss or energized to prove they're better than that.  I'd pass on this game, but usually after a team looks awful, they bounce back and I will reluctantly take the Hogs to cover.  Bret better make sure his wife is up in the booth though when Coach Handsome comes to Fayetteville.  



                                                              Courtesy of locerdome.com

Western Carolina
at Tennessee -34

Even Smokey couldn't watch after last Saturday.  I think the Vols are looking to prove that game was a fluke and Butch runs up the score against Western Carolina.  Josh Dobbs probably won't play much after the 1st half, as the Vols light up the scoreboard in Knoxville.  Take the Vols and the points.  


                                                       Courtesy of wcnc.com

Florida -3.5
at Kentucky 

Don't make Jim McElwain angry.  You...wouldn't like him...when he's angry.  Who knows with this game?  It's pretty much a push.  Is this the year Kentucky finally breaks the streak against the Gators?  If they're going to do it, they better hope it's this year at home.  I'm going with the Wildcats in this game.  I think both teams are somewhat evenly matched, and I'm giving the edge to Kentucky being that this game is in Lexington.  


                                                                Courtesy of photos.nola.com

Auburn
at LSU -6.5

The CBS 3:30 game sees the Battle of the Tigers in Baton Rouge.   I've got a soft spot for this game considering I've seen Auburn play LSU in an afternoon game in Baton Rouge.  From what I can recall, that's what The Red Stick does to your memory, it was the year after Cam Newton left Auburn and LSU fans were pointing at black birds hovering around the top of Tiger Stadium and yelling "War Eagle!" while making Finebaum references.  

Auburn has not looked good at throwing, running, or catching the football.  That's not a good sign, when your team is known for having a high powered offense and a defense that is lacking.  Meanwhile, LSU's QB had 71 yards passing last week.   SEVENTY-ONE!  I know high school option offenses where the QB throws for more than 71 yards in a game.   

I'm going to go with LSU to win this game, but I think they win by less than 6 1/2 points.  Auburn will look better than they did last week, because they can't look much worse, and they make it a game in Baton Rouge.  LSU wins largely because this game is at home, and they have Leonard Fournette.  

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