Sunday, December 27, 2015

NFL Week 16 Predictions

                                               Courtesy of printableteamschedules.com

Oakland started off Week 15 with an Overtime win against San Diego, for what might be the last home game played in Oakland.  Personally, I'd like to see the Raiders stay in the Bay Area, but they clearly need a new stadium.  Still, the Black and Silver look like they've got a bright future ahead of them wherever they make their home. 


                                                     Courtesy of thebiglead.com

In the Saturday Night game, we saw that Kirk Cousins doesn't understand the difference between kneeling down vs. spiking the football to stop the clock when you don't have any timeouts remaining.  It didn't matter in the grand scheme of things though as the Eagles handed the Redskins the NFC East title.  Chip Kelly's seat is going to get mighty hot in 2016.



                                                                       Courtesy of patriotsgab.com

New England   -3
at NY Jets

The Patriots are likely looking at the No. 1 overall seed and home field advantage in the AFC yet again this season.  The Jets are trying to hang on and get a wild card spot, and they'll likely need to beat the Pats at MetLife to do it.  This should be another classic rivalry game, as the Jets know they pretty much have to win out to continue playing after next week.  Brady's record against the Jets is pretty impressive, so it's hard for me to pick against him, especially based on the fact that Ryan Fitzpatrick has only had 1 win against the Pats in his entire career.  I think the Jets throw everything they have at New England, but fall just short in a close game.  Patriots 27 Jets 24.



                                                                Courtesy of foxsports.com

Houston   -3.5
at Tennessee

With Mariota out for this week and Houston starting Brandon Weeden, this isn't exactly the game CBS was hoping for.  Still, if Houston takes care of business against the Titans and Jaguars they'll be hosting a playoff game as the AFC South Champs, and if you watched Hard Knocks this year, that didn't look possible at the start of the season.  Even with Weeden leading the Texans, I still like the way they've found ways to win games this year, and DeAndre Hopkins is a better receiver than anything Tennessee has to offer.  The Titans continue to be a mess, and look to be drafting again early in 2016.   Houston 23 Tennessee 16.



                                                               Courtesy of foxsports.com

Cleveland
at Kansas City    -10.5

Christmas was not kind to the Cleveland Browns as Armonty Bryant and DeAnte Saunders found that the Ohio State Highway Patrol is little more hard-nosed with their naughty list than St. Nick.  Manziel hasn't played poorly in his starts this year, but his teammates haven't been able to help much, outside of Gary Barnidge, as the Browns sit at 3-11.  Kansas City meanwhile has won 8 straight games, and looks poised to head to the postseason after starting the year 1-5.   Cleveland hasn't been able to stop teams from scoring, and though Kansas City doesn't always light up the score, they'll do enough to win this one comfortably.  Chiefs 31 Browns 17.


                                                           Courtesy of fansided.com

Indianapolis
at Miami    -2.5

At the beginning of the season this looked like a really good Week 16 matchup between 2 playoff teams, but now Indy is on the outside looking in, and Miami is on the phone with Sean Payton's agent.  Matt Hasselbeck is expected to start, but he's starting to show his age as he struggles to stay upright behind a weak offensive line.  This is a really tough game to predict, because Indy has something to play for, but Miami is the healthier team and playing at home.  The key for the Dolphins is getting Hasselbeck out of his comfort zone, by hitting him early and often.  I think they limit his effectiveness by blitzing early, and we see Charlie Whitehurst by the day's end.  Dolphins 27 Colts 22.


                                                            Courtesy of sfbay.ca

San Francisco
at Detroit     -9.5

Matt Stafford and the Lions have found ways to lose this year, despite being extremely competitive in most of their games.  The Lions jumped out to a big lead against the Saints on Monday Night, then hung on for the win.   On the West Coast, the Jim Tomsula era looks to be coming to a close in San Fran, much to surprise of no one.  Winning 4 games has been impressive so far, considering expectations, and the 49ers may get to 5 wins this year, but it won't be this week.  Lions 30 49ers 20.


                                                              Courtesy of buffalobills.com

Dallas
at Buffalo   -6.5

Oh Cowboys and Bills fans...if only this was 1993.  With both teams suffering a number of injuries and having their seasons secured to end next week, give me the Bills to get the win at home.  No Tony Romo, no Dez, and a banged up Witten, plus having to play on the road doesn't spell success for Dallas.  Bills 24 Cowboys 17.



                                                           Courtesy of sportstalkflorida.com

Chicago
at Tampa Bay   -3

If this game was in Chicago, I'd go with the Bears, but the 3 point line pretty much means Vegas thinks these teams are evenly matched so they're giving the edge to Tampa Bay, and so am I.  Doug Martin is 2nd in the league in rushing, sitting only 9 yards behind Adrian Peterson heading into the final two weeks of the season.  Moreover, Jameis Winston has been about what we expected, he's looked like a rookie at times, but also made some dynamic plays and Tampa's selection...so far...looks to have been a smart one.  The Bears got trounced by the Vikings last week, and I think it was a mistake to get rid of Lovie Smith in the first place, as they haven't had much success since he left.  Give me the Bucs to get a win over Chicago at home 26 - 21.


                                                          Courtesy of carolinaprofootball.com

Carolina    -6.5
at Atlanta


Carolina took the Falcons to the woodshed 2 weeks ago in Charlotte, beating them 38-0, and you can bet Dan Quinn used that game, and the late game team photos by the Panthers, as motivation for this week.  A win by the Panthers secures that the NFC runs through the Queen City, but Carolina, who jumped out to a big lead against the Giants has had a history this year of letting teams back into games.  The Falcons got a much needed win last week against Jacksonville, and this game will be a lot closer than 38-0, but I still don't see Atlanta being able to outscore the Panthers, with the way Cam Newton is playing.  Panthers 31 Atlanta 24. 


                                                        Courtesy of healthaven.com

Pittsburgh     -10
at Baltimore

Normally, you wouldn't see this kind of line in a Steelers-Ravens game, but Pittsburgh has Antonio Brown at wideout and Big Ben under center, and Baltimore has the option of starting Matt Schaub, Ryan Mallett, or Jimmy Clausen.  The Steelers look poised to make a run in January, and they should win comfortably against a banged up Ravens team that can't wait for 2016 to get here.  Steelers 34 Ravens 16.


                                                            Courtesy of bigcatcountry.com

Jacksonville
at New Orleans   -3

Blake Bortles looks like he might be the best overall QB out of the 2014 class, though Teddy Bridgewater and the Viking faithful would vehemently disagree with that.  With Drew Brees struggling with a torn plantar fascia, I don't see why you'd risk getting Brees hurt for the long term by playing him in this game.  Whether the Saints decided to trade him in 2016 or try and make one more run with him at the helm, an injured Drew Brees helps no one.  Reports out this morning are that Brees will play and being that this could be the last game for the Payton-Brees Era in New Orleans, I'll go with the Saints to get a win at home.  Saints 35 Jags 31.


                                  Courtesy of permissionslips.files.wordpress.com

St. Louis
at Seattle    -12

Seattle has looked mighty tough the last month of the season, and they'll continue their winning streak against the Rams at home this week.  There's not much to say here.  Seattle wins and covers against a Rams team that's likely headed to L.A.  Seahawks 28 St. Louis 13.


                                                           Courtesy of fansided.com

Green Bay
at Arizona    -4.5

This could be a playoff preview with the Packers heading to Arizona to take on the Cardinals.  The Packers sit with a 1 game lead on Minnesota, and a Week 17 showdown in Lambeau, but they can clinch the NFC North with a win today and a Minnesota loss.  Green Bay has had troubles on defense, but with The Honey Badger out for the year, it's Arizona's defense that has questions swirling around it heading into the playoffs.  I'd look for Rodgers to avoid throwing to Patrick Peterson and focus on the other side of the field with Mathieu out and he's still an elite QB, but I like the offensive weapons and supporting cast in Arizona more than I do Green Bay.  Despite multiple injuries in the running game, Arizona finds ways to get production running the football and keeps rolling.  It looks like Andre Ellington will play today, but David Johnson has been awfully good filling in for him.  Cardinals 27 Packers 24.


                                                          Courtesy of twincities.com

NY Giants
at Minnesota   -6

The NY Giants will be without their best player, not named Eli Manning, this week against Minnesota.  Unless you have been living off the grid, you're likely familiar with the Norman-Beckham showdown last Sunday.  When I wrote that it would be must see television, that's not exactly what I was expecting.  Beckham clearly should have been ejected multiple times after throwing punches at multiple players and launching himself head first at Josh Norman, and Norman deserved a fine for his unnecessary roughness throughout the game on Beckham.  The League acted to correct the failures by the officials to adequately controls the game on both sides, and for once I actually agree with the punishment for both players.  Now, as for this week, Minnesota still has the NFC North crown in its sights with Green Bay having to go to Arizona, and the having the league's leading rusher suit up against a porous New York run defense.  Without Beckham, I don't think the Giants have enough weapons to compete with a more disciplined Vikings team, and with Washington clinching the NFC East last night, the Giants don't have nearly as much to play for this week.  Minnesota gets it done at home and Week 17 in Lambeau is for the NFC North title.  Minnesota 31 New York 20. 


                                                          Courtesy of foxsports.com

Cincinnati
at Denver     -3

The NFL was hoping this would be Peyton Manning vs. Andy Dalton and a preview of the possible AFC Championship, but as fate would have it, NFL fans are treated to a Monday Night Football showdown between AJ McCarron and Brock Osweiler.  Cincy got a vital win on the road against the 49ers last week, while Denver has lost two in a row to Oakland and Pittsburgh.  With Osweiler having more experience, a better defense, and playing at home, I'm going with the Broncos to get a close win against the Bengals.  This game could very well decide who gets a 1st round bye in the playoffs and who has to play in the Wild Card Round, so both teams will come out guns blazing, but I believe in Osweiler more than I do AJ McCarron.  Broncos 28 Bengals 24.



                                            Courtesy of achristmasstoryhouse.com

With Christmas behind us and the New Year and Playoffs quickly approaching, we're likely to see some unusual games come January.  Cheers to the rest of the holidays!

Sunday, December 20, 2015

NFL Week 15 Predictions

   Courtesy of printableteamschedules.com

Thursday night saw what could likely be the last home game for the Rams franchise in St. Louis, as the franchise's owner looks to move the team to Los Angeles.  The Color Rush game saw Mustard beating Ketchup 31-23, whereby the Rams essentially knocked the Bucs out of the playoff picture, as both teams now sit at 6-8.  

                                                           Courtesy of usatoday.com

Last night's game, saw the Cowboys finally join the ranks of those mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, and Skip Bayless's rhetoric about how he expected Dallas to finally turn the corner can be put back on the shelf until 2016.  The Cowboys had a good chance to win the game with Kellen Moore at QB, but a late jump ball pass down the field to Dez Bryant ended in an interception and officially ended the season for the Cowboys.  

                                                         Courtesy of kxan.com

One of today's biggest games has Houston and Indy both starting back up QBs in a game that could very well decide who wins the AFC South and secures the 4 seed in the playoffs.  Carolina heads to MetLife Stadium to try and stay perfect, and the Chiefs looks to continue their winning streak in Baltimore.  The most important game of the week though is probably Denver at Pittsburgh.  With the Jets winning last night, the Steelers have to keep pace with a win, while Denver is hoping to stay in the hunt for a playoff bye after losing a close game to Oakland at home.

                                                       Courtesy of centriotimes.com

Chicago
at Minnesota    -5.5

Minnesota suddenly looks like a mediocre football team after dropping 3 out of the last 4 to fall to 8-5.  I still think this team makes the playoffs, but they are likely going to be the 6 seed and heading to Green Bay, unless something changes quickly.  The Bears have played a lot better than expected this season, but that's because the expectations were very low.  Chicago is coming off back to back loses to the 49ers and Redskins, both at home, and now they have to go on the road against a divisional opponent that is going to the playoffs.  9 of the last 10 Chicago games have been decided by 6 points or less, so give me the Vikings to win, but the Bears cover.   Vikings 20 Bears 16.

                                                               Courtesy of bigcatcountry.com

Atlanta
at Jacksonville   -3

Jacksonville's season will likely end on January 3rd, but in their last 3 games the Jags have scored 25, 39, and 51 points, so I think they have finally figured it out on offense.  I like what Blake Bortles has done this year; he has 30 passing touchdowns, which is 3rd in the NFL this season, and he has clearly found a rhythm with Robinson, Hurns, and Julius Thomas.  Atlanta has officially fallen apart after getting trounced 38-0 in Charlotte last week.   Give me the Jags to win at home 34 - 31.

                                                        Courtesy of gannett-cdn.com

Houston
at Indianapolis   -1.5

JJ Watt's hand is clearly affecting his performance.  He has zero sacks and a pedestrian 7 total tackles in the last two games.  Indy hasn't exactly been setting the world on fire either though in the last few weeks.  They got blown out in the 2nd half against the Jaguars and were dominated by the Steelers, so they also need a win badly.  With the AFC South crown likely on the line in this game, I'm going with the Colts to get the win.  The Colts are playing at home, they have more explosive players than Houston, and I believe in Matt Hasselbeck more than I do TJ Yates.  If Hasselbeck's rib injury gives him problems and the Colts have to turn to Charlie Whitehurst, that could open the door for the Texans, but assuming he's healthy I think the Colts get a win at home and likely secure the AFC South crown.  Colts 22 Texans 20.


                                                               Courtesy of sportingnews.com

Carolina      -4
at NY Giants  

This game has probably been one of the most hyped 13-0 vs 6-7 match ups in recent memory, because it puts the best wide receiver (with all due respect to Julio Jones and Antonio Brown) in the game against the best corner in the game.  Odell Beckham has 6 straight games with over a 100 yards receiving and 12 TDs this year, but Josh Norman's numbers against top wide receivers are insane.  This year against DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Evans, T.Y. Hilton, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones he has given up 9 receptions, 89 yards, and 0 touchdowns total.  He hasn't give up more than 35 yards receiving to any receiver, and none of those players has caught more than 4 balls against him.  That's total domination against some of the best players in the NFL.  With Jonathan Stewart out, the Panthers are going to rely on Fozzy Whitaker to carry the load, with Cameron Artis-Payne and Mike Tolbert mixed in to change up the pace.  I think this comes down to the fact the Panthers play good defense and run the ball well, and the Giants can't run the ball and don't play good defense.   The Giants are too reliant on Eli and Beckham, and if you take away those two from them, their offense doesn't move the ball.  I don't know if Josh Norman completely shuts down Odell Beckham, but I don't think Beckham has a career day either.  It should be an awesome chess match between these two.  Panthers 31 Giants 23.  

                                                              Courtesy of trbimg.com

Tennessee
at New England    -14

I don't think anyone outside of a die hard Titans fan is expecting Tennessee to go up to Foxboro and get a win, so this questions comes down to will they cover the spread?  The Titans have played a lot of teams close this year, but they got blown out last week against the Jets.  The Patriots still have multiple key players nursing injuries, but they've still got far more talent than the Titans.  Tennessee may keep it close for the 1st half, but I think New England pulls away and wins this one by double digits.  It should be interesting to see how the Pats use Brandon Bolden and James White.  Patriots 34 Titans 17.

                                                                 Courtesy of cbssports.com

Buffalo      -2.5
at Washington

Rex Ryan's playoff hopes are likely over and there's dissension in the locker room in Buffalo.  The Redskins meanwhile got a much needed win on the road in Chicago last week, and they are 5-2 at home this year.   This game is pretty much a push, but I like Kirk Cousins and the Redskins at home over Rex Ryan's Bills.  If this game was in Buffalo, I'd go with the Bills, but I think Washington just has more to play for today.  Washington 21 Buffalo 20.

                                               Courtesy of panicbutton.sportsblog.com

Kansas City     -6.5
at Baltimore     

Kansas City has won 7 of their last 8 games, but last week they struggled mightily against a bad San Diego Chargers team, only winning 10-3.  Baltimore has been eliminated from the playoffs, but they've still been competitive in most of their games this year.   While this might not be a sexy game, it does have significant playoff implications.  The Chiefs have been finding ways to win and they should continue that today against the Ravens.  They'll run the ball and Alex Smith will move the ball down the field when he has to.  Chiefs 25 Ravens 17.

                                                                     Courtesy of foxsports.com

Cleveland
at Seattle      -14

Mike Pettine has officially hopped aboard the I Don't Give A Damn Express.  Is Russell Wilson elite?  No.  But the guy has still been to back to back Super Bowls, and his team is going back to the playoffs again this year.  Additionally, his statistics over the last few weeks have been phenomenal.  So, saying that someone is not elite, when your team has struggled at the QB position for the last 2 decades, isn't exactly smart, but you have to appreciate the fact that Pettine knows his days in Cleveland are numbered and he's going out with a bang.  Maybe his comments help motivate his team; maybe they go into Seattle and surprise the Seahawks and only lose by 13 points.  I don't see it happening, but it's worth a shot.  Seattle 35 Cleveland 10.


                                                 Courtesy of silverandblackpride.com

Green Bay       -3.5
at Oakland

Green Bay heads to the black hole today to try and keep their lead in the NFC North.  This game should be a very good battle as both QBs love to throw the ball.  Rodgers has completed 282-461 passes for 3175 yards and 28 TDs, while Carr has completed 283-455 passes for 3313 yards and 28 TDs.  It's amazing to think that Carr, a second year player, has those kind of numbers compared to Aaron Rodgers.  The Raiders likely aren't going to the playoffs, barring a miracle, but they've had a very nice season.  I'm hoping this game is a high scoring affair in the Bay Area, but I like Green Bay to get a close win.  Packers 38 Raiders 34.

                                                            Courtesy of cbsboston.com

Denver
at Pittsburgh    -6

Reports from the Broncos via Ian Rapoport, are that Peyton Manning does not plan on being Brock Osweiler's back up, even if he's healthy, so it likely means the Manning era in Denver is over.  Peyton wasn't going to play this week anyway due to injury, but this looks like to be an EXTREMELY interesting developing story over the next couple of weeks.  With all these distractions, it looks like Pittsburgh's chances of winning and covering the spread just jumped through the roof.  I think Denver's defense is going to play tough, but I still think the Steelers win and cover.  Pittsburgh 24 Denver 17.

                                                        Courtesy of foxsports.com

Miami
at San Diego    -1

San Diego and Miami both have packed it in and are looking to 2016.  The Chargers almost knocked off the Chiefs last weekend, but couldn't punch it in from the red zone.  Miami has usually played well against bad teams, but heading to the West Coach for what could be the last Chargers home game in San Diego, could prove challenging.  If this game was in Miami I'd go with the Dolphins, but being that this may be the last time Philip Rivers plays in San Diego, I'm going with the Chargers to get the win 27-24. 


                                                          Courtesy of foxsports.com

Cincinnati      -6
at San Francisco

AJ McCarron gets the start today for the Bengals, and he's not shy about his confidence.  The Bengals are clearly a better team than San Francisco, but going on the road with a QB who is making his first NFL start, is going to be a challenge.  As has been well reported, the University of Alabama hasn't had one their alumni win an NFL game as a starting QB since Reagan was president.  I think that streak ends today.  As long as McCarron doesn't play terribly, the Bengals should move to 11-3.  Cincy 20 San Fran 13.

                                                                       Courtesy of foxsports.com

Arizona     -3.5
at Philadelphia

The Cardinals head to Philly tonight to take on an Eagles team that looks poised to take the NFC East crown.  Arizona has already locked in a playoff spot and they can lock up the NFC West with a win or a Seattle loss.  Carson Palmer has had an MVP type season and he'll look to lead to the Cards to another victory tonight.  Philly, surprisingly controls their own destiny thanks to a deplorable NFC East.  I think this game is close, but I like still like Arizona to get a win and lock up the NFC West.  Cardinals 30 Eagles 24.

                                                          Courtesy of bleacherrport.com

Detroit
at New Orleans    -2.5

Monday Night's game sees the Lions heading to New Orleans to the face the Saints.  Drew Brees against Matthew Stafford should be a fun to watch as two dynamic passing teams go up against each other with nothing to lose.  The Saints got a win last week in Tampa, while Detroit fell to St. Louis.  Stafford should have a better week against that bad Saints defense, but I think the Saints get a win at home in a high scoring game.  Saints 34 Lions 28.



The Holidays are in full swing as Hanukkah ended on Monday and Christmas comes on Friday, which means the playoff race heats up.  Cheers to the last few games of the season and the start of the NFL Playoffs.




Sunday, December 13, 2015

NFL Week 14 Predictions

Courtesy of printableteamschedules.com


The Thursday Night game saw Minnesota choke away a chance to tie the Cardinals on a botched late play with 13 seconds remaining.  The play called for a clear out route to the sidelines to try and give kicker, Blair Walsh some more room to try to tie the game and set it up for overtime.  But, Bridgewater held the ball far too long and was sacked and fumbled the ball, and Arizona recovered, sealing the win for the Cardinals and making them the 2nd team to clinch an NFC playoff spot.  

                                                             Courtesy of duluthnewstribune.com

With almost every other game having playoff implications, it should be an exciting week.  The only 2 games that really won't affect the playoff picture is San Francisco at Cleveland, which sees the return of Johnny Manziel, and Detroit at St. Louis, which sees Jeff Fisher try and keep his job, as the Rams already have 8 losses.  So, let's get to some games.


                                                            Courtesy of pbs.twimg.com

Buffalo
at Philadelphia   -1

Ah, Shady McCoy's return to Philadelphia.  Will the Philly fans side with McCoy or Chip Kelly in this feud that's been brewing all week?  In any event, these two teams are both fighting for the post season.  The Bills currently sit at 6-6 and are a game out of the last AFC playoff spot, while the Eagles are 5-7 and in a three way tie for the NFC East lead.  Rex Ryan is going to give the ball to McCoy no less than 25 times in this game.   He may even send McCoy out by himself as the sole captain for the coin toss, as a big middle finger to the Eagles and Chip Kelly, but the Bills are going to have to find other ways to score if they hope to get a win today.  The Eagles are coming off a huge win against the Patriots and I think they'll throw everything they have at the Bills, because they pretty much have to win at least 2 of the next 4 games, and with a schedule that has Arizona, Washington, and the Giants left, they'll need every win they can get.  Philly gets it done at home, but just barely 23-20.

                                                          Courtesy of usatoday.com

San Francisco
at Cleveland   -1.5

It is in fact a Blaine Gabbert vs. Jonathan Football Manziel showdown in the Dawg Pound.   After coming off a 2 game suspension by the Browns, Manziel will get the start today, due largely to see if he's going to be with the team next year or they'll cut/trade him to another team in the off season.   You really have to feel for the fans in Cleveland and their QB situation.  As for San Francisco, they are coming off an overtime win against the Bears where Blaine Gabbert threw a game winning walk off touchdown to Torrey Smith.  So, who wins this game?  I think San Francisco has the better roster, and Cleveland is a mess, but with all the hype surrounding Manziel, I think he finds a way to get it done, and gives the media something to talk about all week.  It's too perfect not to happen.  Browns 24 49ers 17. 

                                                         Courtesy of fansided.com

Detroit   -3.5
at St. Louis

Both the Rams and the Lions sit at 4-8, but the Lions have looked good the last few weeks, and should be 5-7 if it wasn't for a Hail Mary last Thursday night, whereas the Rams have looked terrible.  Nick Foles should get the start again for the Rams this week, which is why I'm going with the Lions.  In his last 2 starts Foles has thrown 4 INTs and zero, count that, ZERO Touchdowns.   If you stop Todd Gurley, the Rams can't move the ball.  Lions 17 Rams 13.

                                                 Courtesy of usaftw.files.wordpress.com

New Orleans
at Tampa Bay   -4.5

The Saints had their Super Bowl last week against Carolina.  They threw everything they had at the Panthers, and put up a hell of a fight, but couldn't close it out.  The Bucs still think they've got a shot at the playoffs, and while they're likely going to fall short, they have far more to play for this week.  The Saints defense didn't get much better since Rob Ryan left, and I think Tampa Bay fires the cannon early and often today.  New Orleans won't roll over, but at this point, they need to look at rebuilding.  Bucs 31 Saints 24.


                                                         Courtesy of concordmonitor.com

Tennessee
at NY Jets   -7

The Jets currently hold the last wild card playoff spot at 7-5, and they are lucky they get the 3-9 Titans at home this week.  The Jets have the Cowboys, Patriots, and Bills remaining on their schedule, and they'll need to likely win at least 2 of the next 4 to get to the playoffs, and hope for some help.  Barring a complete collapse or Mariota running all over them, the Jets should get it done this week at home.  Fitzpatrick will play well enough to put the Jets in position to get to 8-5 and hold their lead in the playoffs.  Jets 27 Titans 13.


                                              Courtesy of profootballfocus.com

Pittsburgh
at Cincinnati   -2.5

This is arguably the most intriguing game of the week.  The Steelers need to keep pace with the rest of the AFC, and they need a win in Cincy to do so.  Right now the Bengals have the No. 1 overall seed, but a loss and wins by New England and Denver mean they'd drop to No. 3 and lose a first round bye.  Being that this is a huge game for the Steelers and Andy Dalton hasn't exactly shined in big spots, I'm going with Pittsburgh to get a victory on the road in an extremely hard fought game.  I still think Cincy wins the AFC North, but every game going forward for Pittsburgh is a must win.  Steelers 31 Bengals 28.

                                                        Courtesy of bleacherreport.com

Indianapolis
at Jacksonville  -1.5

Hasselbeck should play again for the Colts today despite suffering a rib separation and a neck injury last week.  The Jags have lost a lot of close games this year and Allen Robinson is emerging as a top NFL receiver.  If the Jags put pressure on Hasselbeck and force him out of the pocket, they should be in good shape today.   That's a big if, and Indy usually beats Jacksonville fairly easily, but I don't think that happens today.  I think the Jags get a win at home today and the Colts drop to 6-7 as Hasselbeck is under pressure all day.  Jags 22 Indy 17. 


                                                        Courtesy of nydailynews.com

 San Diego
at Kansas City     -11

11 points is a lot to give in a divisional game, but these two franchises are headed in opposite directions.  The Chiefs have been unstoppable lately, winning their last 6 games in a row, while the Chargers have lost 7 of their last 8 games.  The Chiefs are sitting at 7-5 and are currently 5th in the AFC playoff standings with games left against San Diego, Baltimore, Cleveland, and Oakland, so they're going to the playoffs.  With Philip Rivers fighting the flu, give me the Chiefs to win big at home.  Chiefs 34 Chargers 14.


                                                         Courtesy of chicagonow.com

Washington
at Chicago    -3.5

The Redskins had every opportunity to take a lead in the NFC East, but a Monday Night loss to Dallas puts the NFC East lead in a 3 way tie at 5-7, with Dallas only a game back at 4-8.  The Bears meanwhile lost a thrilling overtime game to the 49ers thanks to a missed Robbie Gould field goal.  This is probably the hardest game of the week to pick, because both of these teams are unpredictable.  Kirk Cousins and Jay Cutler have run hot and cold all year.  Being that this game is in Chicago, I'm going with the Bears, but I don't feel good about it.  Bears 24 Redskins 21.   

                                                     Courtesy of tumblr.com

Atlanta
at Carolina   -8

Though this is a divisional game, this is clearly a tale of two different teams from when both were 5-0.  Carolina sits at 12-0 and Atlanta is 6-6, but they've lost 5 of their last 6, and they haven't looked good in any of those games.  Carolina got a scare last week, but I think that was the wake up call they needed, and Cam Newton has 10 touchdowns in the last two games.  They've done a great job at finding ways to win games this year, even if it means winning ugly.  I'd be surprised if this game was a blowout, but Matty Ice has been a turnover machine this fall, and the Carolina defense isn't going to make it easier on him.  It'll be interesting to see how often he throws to Julio Jones with Josh Norman sitting across from him.  Panthers 31 Falcons 20.  

                                                   Courtesy of gannett-cdn.com

Seattle     -11
at Baltimore   

So, Seattle heads to Baltimore and will face Jimmy Clausen for a 2nd time this year, after he was waived by Chicago and picked up by Baltimore.  What did Jimmy Clausen do to deserve the kind of beating he's going to get today?  The Seahawks have been red hot of late and they don't look to be slowing down.  Baltimore hopefully won't get embarrassed, but they have almost zero chance of winning this game.  Seahawks 28 Ravens 10.

                                                               Courtesy of ibtimes.com

Oakland
at Denver   -6.5

Oakland has done some nice things this year, but it's going to be a tough day against that Broncos defense for Derek Carr and the Raiders.  Brock Osweiler looks to be the future in Denver, but he only threw for 166 yards last week.  Still he's 3-0 as a starter this year, and the Broncos should rely on their running game and defense to keep them in the hunt for a playoff bye.  They've got some injury concerns, and Oakland is a decent football team, so it won't be an easy game today.  Time for Michael Crabtree to earn that new contract he got this week.  Give me the Broncos to get the win at home, but I like Oakland to cover.  Broncos 23 Oakland 17.    

                                                                  Courtesy of si.com

Dallas
at Green Bay   -6.5

Green Bay finds themselves in a good position at 8-4, after an amazing Hail Mary win against Detroit, and a Vikings loss to Arizona.  I think it's pretty clear both Carolina and Arizona are likely getting a bye in the NFC, but the Packers still can make some ground in the division, by taking a 1 game lead over the Vikings with a win against a bad Dallas team.  I don't think there's a snowball's chance Dallas gets a win in Lambeau today.  Green Bay 30 Dallas 16.  


                                              Courtesy of cbsboston.files.wordpress.com

New England      -3.5
at Houston

New England vs. New New England.  The Pats head down to Houston today to try and get back on track after dropping 2 straight.  With Gronk back, you have to give the edge to the Patriots.  Houston knows New England well, as many of their players and coaches were once employed by the Patriots.  I don't see Tom Terrific and the Pats losing 3 in a row, even against a Houston team that plays great defense.  I'm curious to see if Watt is hindered by his broken hand.  Patriots 24 Houston 20.  

                                                          Courtesy of nydailynews.com

NY Giants    -2
at Miami

Has any team found more ways to lose games this year than the Giants?  They'll need to get a win in South Beach today if they want to keep pace in the NFC East.  The Giants have Miami, Carolina, Minnesota, and Philly to close out the year.  They'll likely need to get at least 2 wins to get to the postseason, and this is one that they're favored to win.  Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham, Jr. should put on a show today with their ability to make circus-like catches.  I'm hoping for a high scoring game, and I think the Giants make enough plays to get a win, and hopefully won't go for it on 4th down, when they should clearly kick a field goal.  Giants 35 Dolphins 31. 


                                                       Courtesy of photobucket.com


The League had it's Series Finale this week, and I for one will be sad to see it go.  The show was brilliantly written, and though it had its ups (Ghost Monkey) and downs (Rafi and Dirty Randy's episode), it was legitimately hilarious throughout every season.  From Mr. McGibblets to Kegel the Elf and of course Andre as the Expert Witness, the characters were spot on.  You will be missed.  Cheers to Football Sunday and the Christmas/Hanukkah Holiday Season.  

                                                  Courtesy of childstarlets.com